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	<title>PEAR Program - Revision history</title>
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		<title>JonoThora: Psionics expansion (01a + 01b): content authored / LaTeX-restored per local submodule; lint-clean.</title>
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		<summary type="html">&lt;p&gt;Psionics expansion (01a + 01b): content authored / LaTeX-restored per local submodule; lint-clean.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;b&gt;New page&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div&gt;= PEAR Program =&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
{{Audience_Sidebar&lt;br /&gt;
| difficulty   = Introductory&lt;br /&gt;
| reading_time = 6 minutes&lt;br /&gt;
| prerequisites = General awareness of [[Anomalous_Cognition]]; basic statistics (z-scores, effect size).&lt;br /&gt;
| if_too_advanced_see = [[Anomalous_Cognition]]&lt;br /&gt;
| if_you_want_the_math_see = [[Falsification_Criteria_for_Psionics]]&lt;br /&gt;
}}&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;PEAR Program&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — Princeton Engineering Anomalies Research — was a research laboratory at Princeton University&amp;#039;s School of Engineering and Applied Science, directed by Dean of Engineering &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Robert G. Jahn&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; and laboratory manager &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Brenda J. Dunne&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;, that operated from 1979 to 2007. Its primary research focus was the apparent statistical anomaly produced by human operators attempting to mentally influence the output of hardware random-number generators (RNG-PK).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The PEAR corpus — about 2.5 million trials — is the largest single-laboratory dataset in the [[Anomalous_Cognition]] literature.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== The RNG-PK protocol ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
# &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Hardware random-number generator&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; based on thermal / Zener-diode quantum noise. Output: continuous binary stream at ~ 200 bits/second.&lt;br /&gt;
# &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Operator&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; sits in front of the RNG with no physical interface — no buttons, no levers, no contact.&lt;br /&gt;
# &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Three conditions&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;, blocked and randomised:&lt;br /&gt;
#* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;PK+&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — operator intends the output to be biased high (more 1s).&lt;br /&gt;
#* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;PK−&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — operator intends the output to be biased low (more 0s).&lt;br /&gt;
#* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Baseline&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — operator does not direct intention (no intent).&lt;br /&gt;
# &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Trial&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — each trial is typically 200 bits. Each session is ~ 200 trials.&lt;br /&gt;
# &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Analysis&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — cumulative deviation from 50% baseline is tracked over time; z-scores computed against the null hypothesis of true 50/50 output.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Apparatus ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The PEAR RNG was a hardware device based on amplified thermal noise from a Zener diode or similar quantum-noise source, followed by:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* A zero-crossing detector (transforms analog noise to digital pulses).&lt;br /&gt;
* A clocking circuit (samples the digital signal at fixed intervals).&lt;br /&gt;
* Software counters (record the digital output).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The RNG was tested extensively for hardware bias and calibration drift — the baseline condition produces no deviation from 50%, confirming the source is genuinely unbiased absent operator intent.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Results (1979-2007 corpus, ~ 2.5 million trials) ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
| Quantity | Value |&lt;br /&gt;
|---|---|&lt;br /&gt;
| Cumulative deviation from 50% baseline | ~ 0.0001 (1 part in 10,000) |&lt;br /&gt;
| Effect size per trial | ~ 3 × 10&amp;lt;sup&amp;gt;-5&amp;lt;/sup&amp;gt; |&lt;br /&gt;
| Cumulative z-score | ~ 3.8 |&lt;br /&gt;
| One-tailed p-value | ~ 7 × 10&amp;lt;sup&amp;gt;-5&amp;lt;/sup&amp;gt; |&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The effect is &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;very small&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — but &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;very robust&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; across the corpus. The cumulative deviation grows steadily with the number of trials, exactly as expected for a small but persistent bias.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Operator structure ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Several characteristic features of the PEAR data:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Individual operator differences&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — some operators produce consistent positive deviation, others negative, others null. The effect is operator-specific rather than universal.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Direction-of-intent matching&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — operators directing PK+ produce slightly higher means; PK- produce slightly lower. The signed correlation with intent is positive and significant.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Pair-wise correlations&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — paired operators (working together remotely) produce larger deviations than individual operators.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Goal-orientation matters&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; — operators reporting strong feelings of engagement produce larger effects than disengaged operators.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Replication ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The PEAR results have been independently replicated:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Bösch, Steinkamp, Boller 2006&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; meta-analysis: 380 studies, ~ 1500 experiments, effect size 4 × 10&amp;lt;sup&amp;gt;-5&amp;lt;/sup&amp;gt;, p &amp;lt; 0.0001 in the same direction as PEAR.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;GCP&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; ([[Global_Consciousness_Project]]) — Roger Nelson, formerly of PEAR, extended the methodology to global-scale events.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;60+ independent laboratories&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; have run RNG-PK studies; aggregate effect direction matches PEAR.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Statistical caveats ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Bösch et al. 2006 meta-analysis noted several caveats:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Funnel-plot asymmetry&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; suggests possible publication bias (more positive small studies than expected).&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Effect size decreases&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; as study quality increases (a sign of methodological-flaw contribution).&lt;br /&gt;
* After correction for these, the aggregate effect remains positive but its size shrinks substantially.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The PEAR team&amp;#039;s response: the effect size is small enough that publication bias and quality moderators are expected to be visible at this scale, but the aggregate signal direction is robust.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Why PEAR closed ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The PEAR laboratory closed in 2007 with Dean Jahn&amp;#039;s retirement. Reasons publicly stated:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* Funding limitations (PEAR was supported largely by private donations).&lt;br /&gt;
* Institutional reluctance to continue association with parapsychological research.&lt;br /&gt;
* Jahn&amp;#039;s view that the basic phenomena had been established; further refinement required different methodologies.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
PEAR&amp;#039;s archival data remains available for re-analysis. Several follow-on projects (ICRL, GCP) continue the research lineage.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== Connection to the framework ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In the [[Psionics|psionic framework]]:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;RNG-PK&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; is interpreted as ψ-field-mediated influence on the quantum-noise source. The Zener-diode noise is fundamentally quantum mechanical; if ψ couples to F&amp;lt;sub&amp;gt;μν&amp;lt;/sub&amp;gt;F&amp;lt;sup&amp;gt;μν&amp;lt;/sup&amp;gt;, it can in principle influence the local electromagnetic field at the diode junction.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Tiny effect size&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; is consistent with the framework&amp;#039;s expectation that α (the ψ-coupling constant) is small.&lt;br /&gt;
* &amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039;Operator individual differences&amp;#039;&amp;#039;&amp;#039; suggest that ψ-coupling efficacy depends on neural-substrate coherence — operators with better-organised microtubule networks would produce larger effects.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== See Also ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Anomalous_Cognition]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Global_Consciousness_Project]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Remote_Viewing]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Ganzfeld_Procedure]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Replication_Crisis_in_Parapsychology]]&lt;br /&gt;
* [[Falsification_Criteria_for_Psionics]]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
== References ==&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
* Jahn, R. G., Dunne, B. J., Nelson, R. D. (1987). &amp;quot;Engineering anomalies research.&amp;quot; &amp;#039;&amp;#039;Journal of Scientific Exploration&amp;#039;&amp;#039; 1: 21–50.&lt;br /&gt;
* Jahn, R. G., Dunne, B. J. (1987). &amp;#039;&amp;#039;Margins of Reality: The Role of Consciousness in the Physical World.&amp;#039;&amp;#039; Harcourt Brace Jovanovich.&lt;br /&gt;
* Jahn, R. G., Dunne, B. J., Nelson, R. D., Dobyns, Y. H., Bradish, G. J. (1997). &amp;quot;Correlations of random binary sequences with pre-stated operator intention.&amp;quot; &amp;#039;&amp;#039;Journal of Scientific Exploration&amp;#039;&amp;#039; 11: 345–367.&lt;br /&gt;
* Bösch, H., Steinkamp, F., Boller, E. (2006). &amp;quot;Examining psychokinesis: The interaction of human intention with random number generators—A meta-analysis.&amp;quot; &amp;#039;&amp;#039;Psychological Bulletin&amp;#039;&amp;#039; 132: 497–523.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
[[Category:Psionics]]&lt;br /&gt;
[[Category:Anomalous Cognition]]&lt;br /&gt;
[[Category:Parapsychology]]&lt;/div&gt;</summary>
		<author><name>JonoThora</name></author>
	</entry>
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